Investment 20/1/2026
US President Trump announced tariffs on eight European countries starting next month, forcing them to cooperate in combating the "axis of evil." The Hang Seng Index opened 203 points lower at 26,641, and the decline widened to 311 points at one point, reaching a low of 26,533, before closing down 281 points or 1.04% at 26,563. The Technology Index fell 72 points or 1.24% to 5,749. Main board turnover was HK$225.6 billion.
The Hang Seng Index currently faces significant resistance at 27,000 points. In the short term, the market may test the 20-day moving average (26,236) for support. Although there have been recent reports of targeted interest rate cuts in mainland China, the authorities' adjustment of margin trading ratios may constrain the upward momentum of A-shares. Hong Kong stocks are expected to consolidate this week, awaiting the next breakout opportunity.
New World Development (00017) shares surged by over 16%. Market speculation suggests New World may be undertaking an asset transaction. This surge may reflect investor speculation about the privatization of New World Development, or that the Cheng family might sell shares to a third party, claiming they are seeking a "win-win" deal.
Monday was Martin Luther King Jr. Day in the United States, and financial markets were closed. The US announced tariffs on several European countries that had deployed troops to Greenland, prompting the EU to consider retaliatory tariffs. The US-EU tariff war escalated, with Dow Jones futures falling more than 400 points. European stocks were sold across the board, with the pan-European Stoxx 600 index closing down 1.19% at 607 points. British, French, and German stocks closed down 0.39%, 1.78%, and 1.34%, respectively.
The US dollar was under pressure, with the dollar index falling as much as 0.37% to 99.02. The euro rose 0.55% to $1.165. The yen rose 0.44% to 157.43 against the dollar. The Swiss franc rose to a two-month high against the US dollar, which fell 0.75% to a low of 0.797 francs. Bitcoin fell as much as 3.63%, hitting a low of $91,926.
China's fertility rate is projected to decline from 6.39 births per 1,000 people in 2024 to 5.63 in 2025, marking the lowest level since the founding of the People's Republic of China in 1949. This also indicates that the national population has experienced negative growth for four consecutive years, demonstrating the ineffectiveness of a series of pro-natalist policies implemented by Beijing.
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