Investment 16/12/2025

The Hang Seng Index opened 258 points lower at 25,718 and continued its downward trend, falling as much as 367 points in the afternoon to a low of 25,609, closing down 347 points or 1.33% at 25,628. The Technology Index fell 139 points or 2.47% to 5,498. Main board turnover was HK$204.2 billion.


Unless the index returns to and holds above the 50-DMA (26,083) this week, the double-top threat can be mitigated; otherwise, a break below the neckline of the double top at 25,145 would likely lead to a drop to at least the 250-day moving average (23,801), a key level for bull and bear markets. With the year-end approaching, investor buying interest is reduced, and the Hang Seng Index is expected to remain range-bound between 25,145 and 26,083. A return above the 50-DMA after the Bank of Japan's interest rate decision cannot be ruled out. For those seeking a market rebound, large-cap technology stocks may be worth considering.


European stocks performed well, with British, French, and German stocks rising 1.06%, 0.7%, and 0.18%, respectively.


US stocks initially rose on bullish forecasts from Wall Street banks but then fell. The Dow Jones Industrial Average opened 136 points higher on Monday, rebounding as much as 221 points to a high of 48,679, before reversing course and falling as much as 174 points to a low of 48,283. The S&P 500 rose as much as 0.5%, and the Nasdaq Composite recovered as much as 0.65%, before both turning negative.


At the close, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 41 points, or 0.08%, to 48,416; the S&P 500 declined 10 points, or 0.16%, to 6,816; and the Nasdaq Composite fell 137 points, or 0.59%, to 23,057.


The US dollar index fell 0.26% to 98.14, while the euro rose 0.26% to $1.1772. Expectations of a Bank of Japan rate hike this week surged, pushing the yen up 0.64% to 154.84 against the dollar. Bitcoin fell below the $86,000 mark, hitting a low of $85,380, a drop of 5.1%. Spot gold prices rose as much as 1.18%, reaching $4,350.33 per ounce.

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