Investment 17/11/2025
The Hang Seng Index opened 412 points lower at 26,660 and continued its downward trend, falling as much as 537 points in the afternoon to a low of 26,535. It closed down 500 points, or 1.84%, at 26,572, ending a four-day winning streak. The Technology Index fell 168 points, or 2.81%, to 5,812. Main board turnover was HK$232.7 billion.
In May, the Hang Seng Index confirmed a break above the neckline of a large double bottom at 22,700 and advanced along a parallel upward channel. On October 2nd, it reached the channel top at 27,381 before encountering resistance and turning downwards. However, it found support at the 100-DMA (25,561) and rebounded over the past two weeks, recovering the 50-DMA (26,263). However, it encountered significant resistance again near the previous high of 27,381. Although the Hang Seng Index opened below 26,733 points on Friday, it managed to close above the 10-DMA (26,469). As long as it remains above the 50-DMA, further downside is limited. With the Bollinger Bands on both the daily and weekly charts narrowing, the Hong Kong stock market is currently trading sideways, likely fluctuating between 25,561 and 27,381 in the short term, awaiting a breakout opportunity.
European stock markets declined across the board, with the UK, French, and German markets falling 1.11%, 0.76%, and 0.69% respectively.
Concerns about overvalued tech companies persisted, coupled with market estimates that the chance of a Fed rate cut next month had fallen below 50%. US stocks continued their decline on Friday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average opening 234 points lower and then widening its losses to a maximum of 594 points, reaching a low of 46,863. The S&P 500 fell as much as 1.35%. However, the Nasdaq Composite Index rebounded after a sharp 1.9% drop, as investors took advantage of the dips to buy quality tech stocks. The VIX volatility index, commonly known as the "fear index," surged 15.2% to 23.03% before settling largely flat.
At the close of trading on the US stock market, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 309 points, or 0.65%, to 47,147; the S&P 500 fell 3 points, or 0.05%, to 6,734; and the Nasdaq Composite rose 30 points, or 0.13%, to 22,900.
The dollar rose slightly on Friday as investors reduced their positions awaiting assessment of the backlog of economic data following the reopening of the US government. The US dollar index was last up 0.2% at 99.319. The dollar traded at 154.45 against the yen. The euro fell to 1.162 against the dollar. The pound fell to 1.316 against the dollar.
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