Investment 1/9/2025
The Hang Seng Index opened 96 points higher at 25,095, then expanded its gains to 278 points, reaching a high of 25,277. The index rose 78 points, or 0.31%, to 25,077 for the day. The Tech Index rose 30 points, or 0.53%, to 5,674. Main Board turnover reached HK$335.6 billion.
For August, the Hang Seng Index rose 304 points, or 1.22%, marking its fourth consecutive month of gains. For the week, it fell 261 points, or 1.03%.
Although Hong Kong stocks stabilized after three consecutive days of decline last Friday, they failed to close above the 20-DMA (25,165). Fortunately, the Hang Seng Index's 14-day RSI remains some distance from overbought levels, suggesting continued optimism for the market outlook, with the potential for new highs this year. However, if support from the 50-DMA (24,881) is breached, a correction to 23,375 is possible. Because: Based on the golden ratio, the Hang Seng Index rose from its April low of 19,260 to its recent high of 25,918, a cumulative increase of 6,658 points. A 0.382-fold correction would bring it to 23,375 points.
European stocks fell across the board, with UK, French, and German stocks down 0.32%, 0.76%, and 0.57%, respectively.
Remaining high in the US may pose a challenge to the Federal Reserve's September rate cut, coupled with a sell-off in chip stocks, putting pressure on US stocks on Friday. The Dow Jones Industrial Average opened 45 points lower and then extended its losses to as much as 259 points, hitting a low of 45,377. The S&P 500 also retreated from its record high, falling 0.88%. The Nasdaq Composite Index fell as much as 1.42%.
At the close of U.S. markets, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 92 points to 45,544; the S&P 500 fell 41 points, or 0.64%, to 6,460; and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 249 points, or 1.15%, to 21,455.
The U.S. dollar index briefly rose 0.33% to 98.134 before turning slightly lower. The Japanese yen fell 0.33% to 147.41 per dollar. Germany's preliminary August inflation reading unexpectedly accelerated to 2.2%, sending the euro down 0.27% before stabilizing. The trade war dragged down Canada's economy, which contracted by 1.6% in the second quarter. The Canadian dollar fell 0.23% before recovering. Bitcoin fell over 3% in late trading to $107,900.
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