Investment 3/7/2024

Hong Kong stocks closed higher on the first trading day of the second half of the year. The Hang Seng Index opened 232 points higher at 24,304 points, then rose 300 points to 24,372 points, and then the upward trend slowed down, closing up 149 points or 0.62% at 24,221 points for the day; the Technology Index fell 33 points or 0.63% to 5,269 points. The main board turnover was HK$240.2 billion .


The Hang Seng Index fluctuated and was weak at the end of June. Technical analysis pointed out that the 20-DMA (23,988) is a key support level. If it falls below, it may fall further. Another analysis mentioned that the index needs to break through the March high of 24,874 points before there is room for further rise, and faces long-term downward resistance from the highs of 2018 and 2021. From the technical trend, the Hang Seng Index has been a "negative candle" for four consecutive trading days, that is, the daily trend is high opening and low closing. In addition, the current valuation of Hong Kong stocks is not cheap, with a price-earnings ratio of more than 12 times and an expected  dividend rate of only 3.2%. Unless there are major positive factors, it is difficult to further push up the market. It is currently maintaining a range of fluctuations.


European stock markets have different trends, with French and German stocks rising 0.99% and 0.49% respectively. But on the other hand, the British financial market is unstable due to concerns about the resignation of the finance minister. The pound has fallen by 1.33%, and the British stock market has closed down 0.12%. The foreign exchange and bond markets are under significant pressure.


As the deadline for trade negotiations on July 9 approaches, the United States and Vietnam have reached a trade agreement. US stocks developed individually on Wednesday. The Dow Jones Industrial Average, which had risen for several days, opened 39 points lower, and then the decline widened to 140 points, hitting a low of 44,354 points; the S&P 500 rose 0.48% repeatedly, breaking the peak and setting a record high at the close; the Nasdaq Composite Index performed relatively strongly, rising as much as 0.96% and setting a record high at the close, driven by the good stock prices of Tesla, Nvidia and Apple.


At the close of the US stock market, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell slightly by 10 points or 0.02% to 44,484 points; the S&P 500 rose 29 points or 0.47% to 6,227 points; and the Nasdaq rose 190 points or 0.94% to 20,393 points.


The US dollar index rose 0.34% to 97.152, and then turned to a mild decline; the euro fell 0.5% to $1.1747, and the yen fell 0.58% to 144.25 per dollar. Bitcoin rose as much as 4.05% to $109,709.


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