Investment 2/6/2025

On the last trading day of May, the Hang Seng Index opened 233 points lower at 23,339 points and continued to fall, falling 410 points to 23,163 points, and fell 283 points or 1.2% to 23,289 points throughout the day; the Technology Index fell 131 points or 2.48% to 5,170 points. The main board traded HK$271.5 billion.


As the tariff war launched by US President Trump continues to affect the global financial market, the recent US debt problem has once again aroused concerns. In addition, the recent northbound capital inflow has slowed down significantly, and large blue chips have announced their results one after another, but the driving effect on the market is limited. Hong Kong stocks lack upward momentum in the short term. China may launch more "employment protection and economic protection" policies before the end of this month to cope with the downward pressure on the economy. In terms of technical trends, although the middle axis of the Bollinger Band is still moving upward on the Hang Seng Index monthly chart, the overall upward direction has not changed, but due to the lack of news and capital in the short term, the Hang Seng Index will fluctuate between 22,000 and 24,000 points in June. Some investors believe that the index fluctuation this year is only 6,000 points. If there is no "black swan" event in the global financial market, the Hang Seng Index should have a new high this year. Because the Hang Seng Index's low point this year is 18,000 points, superimposed on 7,000 to 8,000 points, it can be predicted that the market's high point this year should be between 25,000 points, but it will not go smoothly upward.


European stock markets are stable, with British and German stocks rising 0.64% and 0.27% respectively, and French stocks falling 0.36%.


The latest consumer sentiment and inflation expectations in the United States are not as bad as expected, but President Trump accused China of completely violating the agreement with the United States, casting a shadow on the prospects of trade negotiations, dragging down the Dow Jones Industrial Average on Friday (30th). After opening 23 points lower, it fell 309 points repeatedly, hitting a low of 41,906 points, and finally turned up from a low, and then turned around and rose by as much as 160 points, reaching a high of 42,376 points, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq recovered most of their losses.


At the close of the U.S. stock market, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was at 42,270 points, rebounding 54 points or 0.13%; the S&P 500 fell 1.16% during the session and closed down 0.01% at 5,911 points; the Nasdaq fell as much as 1.71% and closed at 19,113 points, giving up 62 points or 0.32%.


In May, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 3.9%, the S&P 500 gained 6.2%, and the Nasdaq rose 9.6%.


The U.S. dollar index rose 0.39% to 99.67, the euro fell 0.5% to $1.1313, and the yen rose 0.53% to 143.44 per dollar. Bitcoin fell 2.42% to $103,900 on Friday.

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