Investment 13/5/2025

China and the United States issued a joint statement on the Geneva economic and trade talks, and both sides significantly reduced tariffs on imported goods. The Hang Seng Index opened 316 points higher at 23,183 points, and rose 817 points to 23,685 points in the afternoon, reaching a high of more than a month. It rose 681 points or 2.98% to 23,549 points throughout the day, rising for the eighth consecutive trading day; the Technology Index rose 267 points or 5.15% to 5,447 points. Main Board turnover increased to HK$322.4 billion.


The Hang Seng Index is expected to break through the 24,000 point mark today and will challenge the mid-March high of 24,874 points in the future, but will be constrained by 25,000 points. If there is an adjustment, the support level below is 22,500 points. The progress of China-US trade negotiations is faster than market expectations, and the stock market is expected to have a positive response. Investors will continue to pay close attention to the details of tariffs and will also pay attention to the release of large technology stocks this week. It is believed that the first quarter results have not yet reflected the impact of the tariff war, and the report card is expected to perform well.


European stock markets generally performed well, with British and French stocks rising 0.59% and 1.37% respectively. However, German stocks, dragged down by military stocks, fell 0.6% after breaking the peak, and rose 0.29% at the close.


China and the United States have made a major breakthrough in resolving the trade war. The two countries agreed to reduce tariffs by 90 days. U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessan stated that the United States does not want to decouple its economy from China. In addition, the Chinese and U.S. heads of state may have a phone call later this week, which injected strong momentum into the U.S. stock market on Monday.


After the Dow Jones Industrial Average opened 649 points higher, the increase expanded to as much as 1,168 points, reaching a high of 42,418 points; the S&P 500 once rebounded 3.28%, and the Nasdaq rose 4.36%, close to re-entering a technical bull market. All three major indexes closed close to their intraday highs.


At the close of U.S. stocks, the Dow Jones Industrial Average soared 1,160 points, or 2.81%, to 42,410 points; the S&P 500 rose 184 points, or 3.26%, to 5,844 points; and the Nasdaq rose 779 points, or 4.35%, to 18,708 points.


The U.S. dollar exchange rate suddenly strengthened, and the U.S. dollar index rose 1.63% to 101.98. Safe-haven currencies were under significant pressure. The yen plunged 2.25% to 148.65 per dollar at one point, the Swiss franc also depreciated 1.95%, the dollar hit a high of 0.8475 Swiss francs, and the euro slipped 1.63% to $1.1067. Bitcoin fluctuated and fell 4.4% to $100,888.

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