Investment 8/4/2025

The intensification of the trade war triggered a plunge in global stock markets, and Hong Kong stocks were sold off after the holiday. The Hang Seng Index opened 2,119 points lower at 20,730 points and then continued to fall, dropping 3,143 points to 19,706 points, the lowest in more than two months, marking the largest single-day point drop. It fell 3,021 points or 13.22% to 19,828 points throughout the day; the Technology Index fell 911 points or 17.16% to 4,401 points. Main board turnover increased to HK$ 620.8 billion .


Hong Kong stocks fell for three consecutive days, with the Hang Seng Index falling 14.6%, evaporating all gains this year and reaching its lowest level since January 23 this year; from its high in March, it has fallen by 5,000 points, or about 20%. Investors should pay attention to whether there is room for negotiation on tariffs. For the time being, there is still great uncertainty in the stock market and it is difficult to predict. Unless the Hang Seng Index can hold on to the 250-DMA (19,477) that separates the bull and bear markets, it will be confirmed to be in a technical bear market. Don’t misjudge the value of the 20,000-point level. Even stocks with a low correlation with the trade war are not yet suitable for buying.


European stock markets were sold off across the board, with UK, French and German stocks all closing more than 4% lower.


The trade war triggered a global stock market crash. U.S. stocks were extremely volatile on Monday. The Dow Jones Industrial Average plunged more than 1,700 points and then fluctuated weakly, while the Nasdaq rose slightly. The global stock market once evaporated US$95,000 in market value. In the middle of the U.S. market, U.S. President Trump threatened that unless China lifted its retaliatory tariffs on the United States by Tuesday, he would impose a 50% tariff on China on Wednesday. The news exacerbated the decline of U.S. stocks. As investors sold in panic, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell for the third consecutive trading day. After opening 435 points lower, the decline widened to as much as 1,703 points, hitting a low of 36,611 points. Then it stabilized.


At the close of U.S. stocks, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was still down 349 points, or 0.91%, to 37,965 points; the S&P 500 fell 11 points, or 0.23%, to 5,062 points; and the Nasdaq rose 15 points, or 0.1%, to 15,603 points.

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