Investment 18/2/2025

The market paid attention to the symposium on private enterprises in the Mainland. The Hang Seng Index opened 134 points higher at 22,755 points, and the increase once expanded to 356 points, reaching a high of 22,977 points. However, profit-taking emerged afterwards and the decline widened to 301 points in the afternoon, reaching a low of 22,319 points. The Hang Seng Index fell slightly by 4 points or 0.01% to 22,616 points for the whole day; the Technology Index fell 26 points or 0.48% to 5,499 points. Main board turnover increased to HK$ 400.2 billion .

 Although the DeepSeek concept has triggered a revaluation wave in the Chinese and Hong Kong stock markets, after a round of speculation, the market may have limited room to rise further. It is not ruled out that the Hang Seng Index may need to consolidate around the 10-DMA (22,595) before moving up. The short-term resistance is at the high of 23,241 points in October last year. If the short-term adjustment continues, the support at 21,500 points will be strong. However, if trading continues to cooperate, the Hang Seng Index is expected to challenge 25,000 points in the medium and long term; in the most optimistic scenario, it may reach 30,000 points.

 European stock markets performed steadily, with the pan-European Stoxx 600 index rebounding 0.54% to close at 555 points, a record high; British, French and German stocks closed up 0.41%, 0.13% and 1.26% respectively, with German stocks hitting a record high.

 The U.S. stock market was closed on Monday as it was President's Day.

 The U.S. dollar index rose 0.18% to 106.9 at one point; the euro fell 0.24% to $1.0467; the yen rose as much as 0.6% to 151.4 per dollar. The Reserve Bank of Australia is expected to cut interest rates for the first time since 2020 today, with the benchmark rate expected to fall by 0.25 percentage points to 4.1%. The Australian dollar rose 0.35% to 63.74 US cents. Bitcoin slipped 2% to $95,358 at one point.

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