Investment 7/1/2025

The Hang Seng Index opened 88 points higher at 19,848 points and then weakened repeatedly. It once fell 132 points to 19,627 points, and fell 71 points or 0.36% for the whole day to 19,688 points. The Technology Index fell 8 points or 0.18% to 4,395 points. Main board transaction volume was HK$121.6 billion.

 The recent strength of the U.S. dollar has put pressure on a number of non-U.S. currencies, which in turn has dragged down the performance of the mainland stock market. The Hong Kong stock market is currently subject to the poor performance of the mainland stock market and is in a performance window period. The mainland has not seen any major policies to support the stock market. There is no catalyst for an upward breakthrough in the short term. The Hong Kong stock market is expected to fluctuate between 19,400 and 20,000 points. However, the mainland Purchasing Managers Index data released earlier showed that the domestic retail industry showed signs of recovery. In the future, factors such as the retreat of the US dollar and expectations of mainland reserve requirement ratio cuts will condition the midline of the Hong Kong stock market to break upward. Fubon Bank believes that although the market is worried that Trump’s new tariff policy will drag down the performance of Hong Kong stocks, it believes that the mainland authorities will increase stimulus policies, and Sino-US relations will not fall to the freezing point from the beginning. It also describes the current market as being too pessimistic. It is expected that The target range for the Hang Seng Index in the first half of the year is 18,000 to 23,500 points, and it is believed that the possibility of an increase is greater than a correction.

 European stock markets performed well, with French and German stock markets soaring 2.24% and 1.56% respectively, while British stocks edged up 0.31%.

 Large-scale U.S. technology stocks performed well, with Nvidia's stock price closing soaring 3.4%, hitting a record high of $149.43, approaching a record high of $152.89. U.S. stocks developed individually on Monday. After the Dow opened 103 points higher, the gain expanded to 383 points, reaching a high of 43,115 points, and then fell by up to 120 points, reaching a low of 42,611 points. The S&P 500 index once rose by 1.32%, with technology stocks as the mainstay. The Nasdaq rose as much as 1.97%.

 At the close of the U.S. stock market, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 25 points, or 0.06%, to 42,706 points; the S&P Index rose 32 points, or 0.55%, to 5,975 points; and the Nasdaq soared 243 points, or 1.24%, to 19,864 points.

 The U.S. dollar index plunged 1.1% to 107.75, the euro rebounded 1.25% to $1.0437, the pound also rose 1.03% to $1.2551, and the yen rose 0.65% to 156.24 per dollar. Bitcoin once again exceeded $100,000, reaching a high of $102,504, up more than 4%.

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