Investment 14/1/2025

Hong Kong stocks continued their decline from last week.  The Hang Seng Index opened 146 points lower at 18,918 points, and then the decline widened to 392 points, hitting a low of 18,671 points. The decline narrowed afterwards, and fell 190 points or 0.99% to 18,874 points throughout the day, marking the sixth consecutive trading day of decline. The index fell 38 points, or 0.91%, to 4,221 points.  The Main Board's turnover was HK$134 billion.


 U.S. stocks fell significantly last Friday (10th), with the Dow Jones Industrial Average falling nearly 700 points.  Under the strong US dollar, Hong Kong stocks continued to fall on Monday (13th), and the Hang Seng Index even fell below the 19,000 mark.  The market is watching the development of Sino-US trade relations after Trump takes office as US President.  Whether the consumer price index data to be released by the United States will bring new direction to the interest rate cut timetable is also worthy of investors' attention.


 The Hong Kong stock market is still in a weak state of repeatedly testing the bottom. If it wants to break out of this situation, the Hang Seng Index must first re-cross the 100-DMA (19,522) and hold above it. The support below is at the 250-DMA (18,108).


 European stock markets fell across the board, with UK, French and German stocks falling 0.29%, 0.3% and 0.41% respectively.


 Rising global bond yields continued to trouble the U.S. stock market. The three major indexes developed individually on Monday, and many large technology stocks continued to decline due to the "horse-changing" activities.  The Dow opened 13 points lower and then fell 93 points. It then stabilized, led by health insurance and bank stocks, and rose as much as 381 points to 42,319 points. The S&P 500 fell 0.92% and finally stabilized. The Nasdaq, which is dominated by technology stocks, fell 1.72% at one point, but the decline eventually narrowed significantly.


 At the close of U.S. stocks, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was at 42,297, up 358 points, or 0.86%; the S&P 500 rose 9 points, or 0.16%, to 5,836; and the Nasdaq fell 73 points, or 0.38%, to 19,088.


 The Fed's interest rate cut expectations cooled, and the US dollar index hit 110.176, breaking 110 for the first time in two years. The market continued to worry about the UK's fiscal problems, and the pound fell another 0.86% to $1.21; the euro fell 0.64% to $1.0178; the yen rose 0.51% to 156.92 per dollar.  Bitcoin plunged 6.47% to a nearly two-month low of $89,669.

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