Investment 13/9/2023

Hong Kong stocks fell first and then recovered, barely holding on to the 18,000-point mark. The HSI fell 204 points in the early stage and found support as low as 17,892 points. It once rose 49 points; it closed at 18,025 points, down 70 points. The HS technology index closed at 4,063 points, down 19 points. The main board's total daily turnover was HK$84.1 billion. 


Due to the lack of good news and the decline in market turnover to less than HK$ 100 billion, Hong Kong stocks fluctuated within a narrow range. The market is paying attention to the trend of the RMB exchange rate and whether the People's Bank of China will take further steps to stabilize the RMB. There are rumors that the People's Bank of China will tighten restrictions on foreign exchange purchases of US$50 million or more by enterprises and centralize the approval authority for this part of foreign exchange purchases to the central bank in order to slow down the decline of the RMB. If the RMB falls below 7.34 again in the short term, there is a risk that the Hong Kong stock market will be under pressure in the future. In fact, the mainland's economic growth is slowing down. Even if rescue measures are launched, the scale is limited and fails to bring surprises to the market. It is believed that the Hong Kong stock market will rebound to around 18,000 points with technical support, but the rebound will be weak, and the resistance at 19,049 points will be very strong. The HSI lowest point of around 17,573 points on August 22 this year is expected to be supported. 


European stock markets developed individually, with British stocks rising 0.41%, French and German stocks falling 0.35% and 0.54% respectively. 


Software company Oracle's revenue outlook for this quarter is worse than expected, and its stock price plunged by more than 10%. After Apple announced the new iPhone 15 series of mobile phones, its stock price once extended its decline to 2.5%, and U.S. inflation data is about to be released, investors have turned cautious, and U.S. stocks There was a dispute between good and bad on Tuesday. 


After the Dow opened 43 points lower, the decline once expanded to 103 points, with the market low at 34,560; then it rose by 188 points, reaching a high of 34,852. The S&P 500 index fell as much as 0.68%. The Nasdaq lost 1.11%. 


The U.S. stock market closed: the Dow fell 17 points to 34,645; the S&P 500 fell 25 points to 4,461; the Nasdaq fell 144 points to 13,773. 


Goldman Sachs strategist Costin gave the S&P 500 a target of 4,500 points by the end of this year, which means there is limited room for further gains from current levels. However, the index is expected to rise to 4,700 points in the next 12 months, which is a 6% increase. 

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