Investment 14/6/2023
The HSI opened 48 points lower at 19,355. Amid the weakening of the RMB, the decline in the market once widened to 131 points, reaching a low of 19,273. However, buying orders were accepted at low levels, and the People’s Bank of China lowered the interest rate for reverse repurchase operations, and the market rebounded , rose 78 points in half a day. The mainland official media expects that the MLF and LPR will be lowered, and the market looks forward to a new round of economic stimulus measures. Hong Kong stocks expanded their gains in the afternoon. The HSI once rose 168 points, reaching a day-high of 19,572 points. The HSI closed up 117 points at 19,521, rising for five days in a row and revisiting the 19,500 mark. The HS Tech index closed up 93 points at 4038, revisiting the 4,000-point mark. Market turnover increased to HK$ 99.7 billion .
The Hong Kong stock market rebounded yesterday. I believe the main reason is that in the afternoon there was news that the Mainland is considering a number of stimulus measures, including interest rate cuts, as well as stimulus measures for domestic real estate and domestic demand. The news further strengthened market expectations for the Mainland to stimulate the economy. The HSI may break through the 250-DMA (19,582), which is the boundary between the bulls and the bears, in the short term, but there are many resistances to the 50-DMA (19,741) to 20,000 points. If there is another adjustment, the rising 20-DMA (19,166) can provide strong support.
The U.S. is about to announce the Consumer Price Index (CPI), and the Federal Reserve will also discuss interest rates this week. The market believes that U.S. inflation will further ease, and the CPI data will be beneficial to the stock market. Regarding the results of interest rate discussions, the market's expectations for interest rate hikes have become more moderate, which will help the performance of new economy stocks. In the future, the Hang Seng Index may also be driven by new economy stocks. However, at this stage, the upward momentum of Hong Kong stocks is still lacking, and it is still difficult for the Hang Seng Index to make a major breakthrough in the short term.
European stock markets continued to perform well, with British, French and German stock markets closing up 0.32%, 0.56% and 0.83% respectively.
When the Federal Reserve started its two-day meeting on interest rates, the United States announced that the year-on-year increase in the consumer price index (CPI) in May fell from 4.9% in April to 4%, the slowest increase since March 2021, slightly lower than Expected to rise 4.1%. Inflation has cooled further, which provides a reason for the authorities to suspend interest rate hikes this week. U.S. stocks performed well on Tuesday. The Dow opened 44 points higher and then rose immediately. At one point, it rose 243 points, reaching a high of 34,310. The S&P once rose 0.84%, and the Nasdaq rose as much as 0.98%.
The U.S. stock market closed. The Dow rose 145 points to 34,212; the S&P 500 rose 30 points to 4,369; the Nasdaq rose 111 points to 13,573.
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